When you think of buying certified autographs of established major leaguers, what is the first thing that comes to your mind?
If you're like me, it's usually how good that player is and how expensive their autographs must be as an extension of that.
My general "rule" is that the better the player is, and the more prominent role he plays in his organization, the higher his prices are. And this is what I apply to cards in a vacuum where Bowman Chrome autographs aren't in the equation. In that, even if the autograph is the player's coveted Bowman Chrome autograph, it can still cost a hefty sum. Just look at the going prices for Mike Trout and Bryce Harper autographs that aren't their Bowman Chrome autos. Or even not-quite-as-big stars like Francisco Lindor.
Of course this rule has its exceptions and it's not so clear cut for various reasons. The biggest being oversupply. If you're like Noah Syndergaard and sign for every product, the law of supply and demand dictates that your autographs will go down in value due to there being more out there available for purchase. And yes, serial numbers and exclusivity can slow that process down a tad, but the fact remains that the overall supply of Syndergaard autographs have gone up. Expect the less desired autographs (like the unlicensed Panini ones) to go down even more in value.
Also, there's the age-old issue of big market vs small market teams. It should be no surprise that Nolan Arenado's autographs aren't going for nearly as much as his worth as a player would indicate, because he plays his games in a gaudy purple vest in a stadium named after a beverage that tastes like urine. And most importantly, he's not in a big market like New York, Boston, Chicago or Los Angeles. Heck, he's not even in a medium-to-big market like Toronto, Seattle, Houston or St. Louis.
These are the reasons I consider my latest purchase, not as painful as I expected.
BEHOLD! My first online baseball card purchase in months!
Evan Longoria's autographs have intrigued me for a while now. A quick look at completed listings show that his non-Bowman Chrome autographs can be had for less than a retail rack pack. Although I got this particular autograph (from the high end Topps The Mint set) for the price of a discounted blaster (plus tax).
The value of Longoria's autographs do not benefit from being on a big market team, and because Longoria is one of the only two Rays players worth caring about he's in a lot of products (the other is Chris Archer whose prices are also very cheap). I guess it's also worth noting that Longoria is old. His autographs can't get get any higher in value due to how he's pretty much maxed out his potential and impact at the big league level. Which is a guy who still has a long ways to go if he wants to make it to the hall of fame, but with his diminishing skills it's hard to see that happening.
So anytime you're in a retail setting and thinking of buying a blaster for $20.00 or a repack for $5.00, just remember that you could get an autograph of the face of the Rays franchise for that money. Never mind whether you'd want to or not.
Now Longo joins Hunter Pence in the, autographs I bought even though I don't really know why I bought them collection.
As always thanks for stopping by and take care :).